Wireless broadband may outperforme fixed line services

This is according to Michelle Branco, product marketing manager for Internet Solutions (IS) who noted that while the growth in both the ADSL and the wireless arena was exponential, wireless services look set to eat into the fixed line.

 

Branco noted that analysts struggle to predict the growth of the South African broadband industry and have in the past underestimated the demand for broadband services. “From the report it s evident that not even experts had any idea of what broadband uptake would be like,” said Branco.

Predictions from the South African research company, BMI-TechKnowledge, sit in the region of 662 000 broadband users by 2008. But as Branco noted the figures in the past have been consistently underestimated. Whilst the true extent of broadband growth in South Africa is debatable one trend that seems to be fact is that wireless broadband services will become increasingly popular. In 2004 wireless services were negligible with a paltry 4600 subscribers.

By 2009 BMI-T predicts that this access medium will grow to 12%. What is interesting is that ADSL which held 3.2% of the pie in 2004 will only grow to 17% with both services stealing market share from the 95% which dial-up held in 2004.

 

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